Does Gold Hedge Against Interest Rate, Inflation, and Geopolitical Risk in the Philippines? An ARDL Approach
My undergraduate thesis in Monetary & Financial Economics — an ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) model run in Stata on monthly Philippine data, 2010–2024. The finding I didn't expect: gold is not a reliable long-run hedge in the Philippine context. It behaves as a crisis-driven safe haven instead — the COVID-19 period stood out clearly in the model. Read the LinkedIn post for the full story.
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